The tragic Pahalgam terrorist attack on April 22, 2025, reignited tensions between India and Pakistan, resulting in India’s launch of Operation Sindoor, a series of precision strikes against terror bases in Pakistan-occupied Kashmir. As military activities intensified along the Line of Control, financial markets reacted sharply to the Indo-Pak conflict.
In uncertain times like these, investors often wonder: Should I change my investment strategy? Should I pause my SIPs?
Surprisingly, history, and sound financial wisdom, say otherwise.
Here’s how you can manage your investment portfolio smartly and confidently during the 2025 Indo-Pak conflict.
Recent Developments in the Indo-Pak Conflict
Over the past week:
April 22, 2025: The Pahalgam terrorist attack led to tragic loss of life and heightened geopolitical tensions.
May 7, 2025: India responded with Operation Sindoor, targeting terror infrastructure.
May 8-9, 2025: Military activity escalated briefly along the Line of Control (LoC).
Market Impact:
The BSE Sensex and Nifty 50 experienced a modest decline of around 2% following the events.
Approximately ₹7 lakh crore of market capitalization was wiped off temporarily, which is a normal correction relative to the market size.
The Indian Rupee depreciated slightly, prompting limited intervention by the Reserve Bank of India
While headlines highlighted the sharp numbers, the overall correction remains within typical short-term volatility seen during geopolitical tensions.
Importantly, investor sentiment has remained largely stable, indicating confidence in India’s economic fundamentals.
How Indian Markets Have Historically Responded to India-Pakistan Conflicts
Despite initial shocks, history shows that the Indian stock market bounces back strongly after geopolitical tensions.
Here’s a quick look:
Pulwama Attack (2019): Markets dipped by 1.8%, recovered in weeks.
Uri Attack (2016): 2% decline, but regained momentum shortly after.
Mumbai Attacks (2008): Sensex rose by 400 points during the two-day siege.
Indian Parliament Attack (2001): Initial sharp dip (~14%), but losses largely recovered the same day.
Kargil War (1999): A marginal decline of 0.8% over three months.
Markets have shown resilience and recovery after every major conflict between India and Pakistan.
Watch Kapil Jain’s Video on the topic.
Why Staying Invested Is the Smartest Move Now
In times of fear and volatility, emotional decision-making can be disastrous.
Instead, smart investors maintain discipline. Here’s why:
Systematic Investment Plans (SIPs) Work Best in Volatile Markets:
Volatility helps SIP investors accumulate more units through rupee cost averaging.
Market Corrections = Opportunities:
Sharp dips create the best buying opportunities for long-term wealth building.
Timing the Market Rarely Works:
Even professional fund managers struggle to “buy low, sell high.” Staying invested consistently is a winning strategy.
Remember: Correction is temporary, but India’s growth is permanent.
Trust the Process, Not the Panic
The geopolitical tensions between India and Pakistan in 2025 have undoubtedly added pressure to the financial markets. However, investors who maintain their discipline—by continuing their SIPs, adhering to asset allocation, diversifying, and staying patient—are better positioned to achieve their financial goals.
History has repeatedly shown that temporary market turbulence is just that—temporary. India’s economic strength, backed by a young population, entrepreneurial drive, and structural reforms, remains a compelling growth story.
Stay the course. Focus on your long-term plan.
Consider partnering with experienced advisors who can guide you through uncertainty.
How long do market downturns typically last after conflicts?
Historically, market downturns caused by geopolitical tensions tend to be short-lived, often lasting a few weeks to a few months.
For instance, after the Pulwama attack (2019) and the Uri strike (2016), Indian markets stabilized and rebounded within two to three months.
The key is to stay patient and continue following a long-term investment strategy.
Should I pull out my investments during wars?
No. History clearly shows that panic selling during geopolitical tensions often results in realized losses.
Instead, investors should continue their Systematic Investment Plans (SIPs), maintain asset allocation, and avoid making emotional decisions.
Staying invested allows you to benefit when markets recover, which they inevitably do.
What are the safest assets during geopolitical crises?
During times of heightened geopolitical risk, traditionally “safe” assets include:
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Debt funds and government bonds (for capital preservation)
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Gold (a classic hedge against volatility)
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Liquid funds (for emergency liquidity)
However, the safest strategy remains diversification, spreading your investments across equities, debt, gold, and international funds based on your risk appetite.